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Liga MX | Gameweek 16
Apr 22, 2023 at 2.05am UK
Estadio de Mazatlan

Mazatlan
0 - 2
Monterrey


Bello (29'), Venegas (30'), Omar Romano (30'), Meraz (84'), Vidrio (90'), Camacho (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Meza (27'), Aguirre (88')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Mazatlan and Monterrey.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mazatlan 1-2 Tijuana
Saturday, April 15 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 1-2 Santos Laguna
Monday, April 17 at 2.10am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 52.11%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 24.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 2-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.

Result
MazatlanDrawMonterrey
24.65% (0.116 0.12) 23.25% (0.248 0.25) 52.11% (-0.359 -0.36)
Both teams to score 57.13% (-0.707 -0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.47% (-0.997 -1)43.53% (1.001 1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.08% (-0.98699999999999 -0.99)65.93% (0.991 0.99)
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.61% (-0.441 -0.44)31.39% (0.445 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.24% (-0.514 -0.51)67.76% (0.518 0.52)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.27% (-0.488 -0.49)16.73% (0.493 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.35% (-0.884 -0.88)46.65% (0.89 0.89)
Score Analysis
    Mazatlan 24.65%
    Monterrey 52.11%
    Draw 23.25%
MazatlanDrawMonterrey
2-1 @ 6.3% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.09% (0.191 0.19)
2-0 @ 3.53% (0.069 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.44% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.36% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 24.65%
1-1 @ 10.88% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.25% (0.227 0.23)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.25%
1-2 @ 9.73% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 9.39% (0.256 0.26)
0-2 @ 8.39% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
1-3 @ 5.8% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-3 @ 5% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.36% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-4 @ 2.59% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-4 @ 2.24% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.5% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-5 @ 0.93% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 52.11%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Mazatlan 1-2 Tijuana
Saturday, April 15 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 1-2 Mazatlan
Sunday, April 9 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 2-1 Mazatlan
Monday, April 3 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 1-2 Club Leon
Saturday, March 25 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 0-1 Necaxa
Saturday, March 18 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 4-1 Mazatlan
Sunday, March 12 at 6pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 1-2 Santos Laguna
Monday, April 17 at 2.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 2-1 Monterrey
Sunday, April 9 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 4-0 Tijuana
Sunday, April 2 at 2.15am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 0-1 Monterrey
Sunday, March 19 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 1-2 Monterrey
Monday, March 13 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 3-0 Juarez
Sunday, March 5 at 1.10am in Liga MX


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