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Liga MX | Gameweek 6
Feb 11, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Azteca

America
2 - 1
Necaxa

Valdes (21'), Martin (51' pen.)
Valdes (69'), Reyes (83'), Jimenez (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Silvera (78')
Mendez (32'), Luciano Lillini (33'), Pena (47'), Poggi (58'), Jurado (61'), Oliveros (82')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club America and Necaxa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Santos Laguna 2-2 America
Sunday, February 5 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-1 Tijuana
Saturday, February 4 at 1am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 69.68%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 12.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.54%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
Club AmericaDrawNecaxa
69.68% (-0.773 -0.77) 18.04% (0.191 0.19) 12.27% (0.575 0.58)
Both teams to score 50.51% (1.224 1.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.64% (0.632 0.63)40.36% (-0.639 -0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.26% (0.65000000000001 0.65)62.73% (-0.657 -0.66)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.55% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)10.45% (0.019 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.94% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)34.05% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.4% (1.379 1.38)43.6% (-1.385 -1.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.21% (1.121 1.12)79.79% (-1.128 -1.13)
Score Analysis
    Club America 69.67%
    Necaxa 12.27%
    Draw 18.04%
Club AmericaDrawNecaxa
2-0 @ 11.62% (-0.36 -0.36)
1-0 @ 10.28% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.071 0.07)
3-0 @ 8.75% (-0.284 -0.28)
3-1 @ 7.26% (0.047 0.05)
4-0 @ 4.94% (-0.164 -0.16)
4-1 @ 4.1% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.132 0.13)
5-0 @ 2.23% (-0.077 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.85% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 69.67%
1-1 @ 8.54% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.56% (-0.135 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4% (0.178 0.18)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 18.04%
0-1 @ 3.78% (0.034 0.03)
1-2 @ 3.55% (0.161 0.16)
0-2 @ 1.57% (0.073 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.11% (0.089 0.09)
1-3 @ 0.98% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 12.27%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Santos Laguna 2-2 America
Sunday, February 5 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 6-0 Mazatlan
Sunday, January 29 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 2-2 Puebla
Sunday, January 22 at 1.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 2-2 America
Sunday, January 15 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 0-0 Queretaro
Saturday, January 7 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: America 1-1 Toluca
Sunday, October 23 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-1 Tijuana
Saturday, February 4 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 2-1 Necaxa
Monday, January 30 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-0 Cruz Azul
Sunday, January 22 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 2-1 Necaxa
Tuesday, January 17 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 2-3 Atletico San Luis
Saturday, January 7 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 2-0 Necaxa
Sunday, October 9 at 1am in Liga MX


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