Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 62.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 16.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Toluca win it was 1-2 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Pachuca	Draw	Toluca
62.57% ( 0.73)	20.47% ( -0.28)	16.96% ( -0.44)

Both teams to score 54.39% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.61% (

0.5)

41.39% (

-0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.22% (

0.5)

63.78% (

-0.5)

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.34% (

0.36)

12.66% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.19% (

0.75)

38.81% (

-0.75)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.27% (

-0.22)

37.73% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.49% (

-0.22)

74.5% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Pachuca 62.57%

Toluca 16.96%

Draw 20.47%

Pachuca	Draw	Toluca
2-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.47% Total : 62.57%	1-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.47%	1-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.25% Total : 16.96%