Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 73.81%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 8.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.28%) and 3-0 (10.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.
