Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 46.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.09%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 1-0 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.
