Toluca
1 - 2
Pumas

Ortega (62' pen.)
Sambueza (2'), Estrada (23'), Garcia (83'), Chavez (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lopez (16'), Dinenno (50')
Diogo (21'), Lopez (31'), Lira (34'), Dinenno (82'), Ortiz (85'), Corozo (90+8')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Pumas.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 48.06%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Pumas had a probability of 25.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Pumas win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Pumas
48.06%	25.97%	25.96%

Both teams to score 49.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.19%

53.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.72%

75.28%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.6%

22.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.09%

55.91%

Pumas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.16%

35.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.38%

72.61%

Score Analysis

Toluca 48.06%

Pumas 25.96%

Draw 25.97%

Toluca	Draw	Pumas
1-0 @ 12.01% 2-1 @ 9.22% 2-0 @ 8.98% 3-1 @ 4.6% 3-0 @ 4.48% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.68% Other @ 3.02% Total : 48.06%	1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 8.03% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.97%	0-1 @ 8.24% 1-2 @ 6.32% 0-2 @ 4.23% 1-3 @ 2.16% 2-3 @ 1.62% 0-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 1.95% Total : 25.96%