Liga MX | Gameweek 10
Mar 6, 2023 at 1.05am UK
Estadio La Corregidora
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Queretaro and Toluca.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result |
| Queretaro | Draw | Toluca |
34.2% ( -0.36) | 25.55% ( 0.18) | 40.24% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 55.46% ( -0.69) |
| 51.53% ( -0.86) | 48.46% ( 0.85) |
| 29.4% ( -0.79) | 70.59% ( 0.78) |
| 72.81% ( -0.62) | 27.18% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.4% ( -0.82) | 62.59% ( 0.82) |
| 76.17% ( -0.29) | 23.83% ( 0.29) |
