Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queretaro win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queretaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queretaro would win this match.
