Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 21.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
