Liga MX | Gameweek 1
Jan 13, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio La Corregidora
Gularte (7'), Nicolas Ortiz (56')
Barbieri (33'), Nicolas Ortiz (45+5'),
Allison (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Queretaro and Toluca.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result |
Queretaro | Draw | Toluca |
33.1% ( 0.05) | 25.4% ( -0.01) | 41.5% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 55.67% ( 0.03) |
51.93% ( 0.03) | 48.06% ( -0.04) |
29.77% ( 0.03) | 70.23% ( -0.03) |
72.32% ( 0.04) | 27.67% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.77% ( 0.05) | 63.23% ( -0.06) |
76.98% ( -0.01) | 23.02% ( 0) |