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Liga MX | Gameweek 1
Jan 13, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio La Corregidora

Queretaro
2 - 2
Toluca

Gularte (7'), Nicolas Ortiz (56')
Barbieri (33'), Nicolas Ortiz (45+5'), Allison (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lopez (66'), Pereira (90+6')
Lopez (73'), Araujo (73')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Queretaro and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Queretaro 0-0 Monterrey
Saturday, November 11 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 1-0 Toluca
Saturday, November 11 at 1.06am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
QueretaroDrawToluca
33.1% (0.045000000000002 0.05) 25.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 41.5% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Both teams to score 55.67% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.93% (0.031999999999996 0.03)48.06% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.77% (0.029 0.03)70.23% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Queretaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32% (0.040999999999997 0.04)27.67% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.77% (0.055 0.05)63.23% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.98% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)23.02% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.16% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)56.83% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Queretaro 33.1%
    Toluca 41.5%
    Draw 25.4%
QueretaroDrawToluca
1-0 @ 8.19% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 7.72% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.31% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 33.1%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 6.37% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.67% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 9.36% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.83% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-2 @ 6.87% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.32% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.59% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.24% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 41.5%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Queretaro 0-0 Monterrey
Saturday, November 11 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 0-3 Queretaro
Monday, November 6 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Queretaro 1-2 Guadalajara
Wednesday, November 1 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 3-0 Queretaro
Saturday, October 28 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Queretaro 1-0 Tijuana
Sunday, October 22 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 3-1 Queretaro
Sunday, October 8 at 7pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 1-0 Toluca
Saturday, November 11 at 1.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 3-1 Toluca
Monday, November 6 at 12.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 0-1 Puebla
Wednesday, November 1 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 3-1 Atletico San Luis
Sunday, October 29 at 6pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 1-0 Toluca
Sunday, October 22 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 3-1 Queretaro
Sunday, October 8 at 7pm in Liga MX


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