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Liga MX | Gameweek 9
Feb 22, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
1 - 0
Santos Laguna

Volpi (76' pen.)
Ruiz (32'), Baeza (38'), Pereira (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Aquino (74'), Amione (90+2')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Santos Laguna.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monterrey 0-0 Toluca
Monday, February 19 at 2.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 3-0 Santos Laguna
Monday, February 19 at 12.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 63.27%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 18.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.87%) and 3-1 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Santos Laguna win it was 1-2 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
TolucaDrawSantos Laguna
63.27% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 18.68% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05) 18.05% (-0.035 -0.04)
Both teams to score 63.48% (0.144 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.3% (0.211 0.21)30.7% (-0.21 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.96% (0.251 0.25)52.03% (-0.251 -0.25)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.66% (0.081000000000003 0.08)9.34% (-0.081 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.52% (0.19200000000001 0.19)31.47% (-0.19 -0.19)
Santos Laguna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.02% (0.096000000000004 0.1)29.98% (-0.095000000000002 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.9% (0.115 0.12)66.09% (-0.116 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 63.27%
    Santos Laguna 18.05%
    Draw 18.68%
TolucaDrawSantos Laguna
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.87% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.49% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.64% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.51% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.44% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.69% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.68% (0.022 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.11% (0.019 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.75% (0.011 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.27% (0.015 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.07% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 63.27%
1-1 @ 8% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 2.8% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.81% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 18.68%
1-2 @ 4.82% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.37% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.03% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.93%
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 18.05%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Monterrey 0-0 Toluca
Monday, February 19 at 2.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 2-3 Herediano
Friday, February 16 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Necaxa 3-3 Toluca
Saturday, February 10 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Herediano 1-2 Toluca
Wednesday, February 7 at 11pm in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Toluca 4-1 Club Leon
Saturday, February 3 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 3-2 Toluca
Wednesday, January 31 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 3-0 Santos Laguna
Monday, February 19 at 12.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 0-3 Tigres
Sunday, February 11 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 3-0 Santos Laguna
Monday, February 5 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 3-0 Puebla
Wednesday, January 31 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 3-2 Santos Laguna
Saturday, January 27 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 0-2 Monterrey
Monday, January 22 at 2.05am in Liga MX


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