Liga MX
Nov 24, 2023 at 3.10am UK
Estadio Nuevo Corona
We said: Santos Laguna 2-1 Mazatlan
As unstable as Laguna have been throughout the Apertura season, they are used to playing in these elimination games, while this is relatively new territory for their opponents, who have struggled to create many scoring opportunities as the visiting team.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 58.49%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 20.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 1-2 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Santos Laguna in this match.
| Result |
| Santos Laguna | Draw | Mazatlan |
58.49% ( 0.08) | 21.06% ( -0.02) | 20.46% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 59.03% ( -0.02) |
| 61.6% ( 0.02) | 38.4% ( -0.02) |
| 39.31% ( 0.02) | 60.69% ( -0.02) |
| 87.1% ( 0.03) | 12.9% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.68% ( 0.06) | 39.31% ( -0.06) |
| 67.77% ( -0.05) | 32.23% ( 0.05) |
