SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.72%) and 0-2 (5.56%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mazatlan | Draw | Toluca |
36.04% ( 0.28) | 23.37% ( 0.36) | 40.59% ( -0.64) |
| Both teams to score 63.72% ( -1.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.12% ( -1.76) | 37.89% ( 1.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.86% ( -1.91) | 60.14% ( 1.91) |
| Mazatlan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.76% ( -0.66) | 21.24% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.85% ( -1.03) | 54.15% ( 1.03) |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.91% ( -1.01) | 19.09% ( 1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.29% ( -1.71) | 50.71% ( 1.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mazatlan | Draw | Toluca |
| 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.4)2-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.79% Total : 36.04% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.33)3-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.37% | 1-2 @ 8.61% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.35)0-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 4.76% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.13)2-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.13)0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.43% Total : 40.59% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
