Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 1-0 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
