SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Tigres |
33.95% ( 0.47) | 25.8% ( 0.16) | 40.25% ( -0.63) |
| Both teams to score 54.57% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.41% ( -0.6) | 49.58% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.39% ( -0.54) | 71.61% ( 0.54) |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.12% ( 0) | 27.88% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.5% ( 0) | 63.49% ( -0) |
| Tigres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.67% ( -0.59) | 24.32% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.29% ( -0.84) | 58.71% ( 0.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toluca | Draw | Tigres |
| 1-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.84% Total : 33.95% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.66% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.86% Total : 40.25% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
