SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 53.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Pumas had a probability of 23.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Pumas win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Pumas |
53.06% ( 0.38) | 23.53% ( 0.06) | 23.41% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 54.76% ( -0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.99% ( -0.74) | 46% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.69% ( -0.7) | 68.31% ( 0.7) |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.7% ( -0.13) | 17.29% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.36% ( -0.23) | 47.64% ( 0.23) |
| Pumas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.21% ( -0.79) | 33.79% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.55% ( -0.87) | 70.45% ( 0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toluca | Draw | Pumas |
| 1-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.8% Total : 53.05% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.52% | 0-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.25% Total : 23.41% |
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