Liga MX | Gameweek 15
Apr 16, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Olímpico de Universitario
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pumas and Toluca.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 36.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Pumas win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result |
| Pumas | Draw | Toluca |
36.72% ( 0.21) | 25.37% ( -0.02) | 37.92% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 56.44% ( 0.07) |
| 52.65% ( 0.08) | 47.35% ( -0.08) |
| 30.43% ( 0.07) | 69.57% ( -0.07) |
| 74.8% ( 0.15) | 25.2% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.07% ( 0.21) | 59.93% ( -0.21) |
| 75.46% ( -0.07) | 24.54% ( 0.07) |
