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M
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Jan 2, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
M
Marseille

Montpellier
1 - 2
Marseille

Savanier (90+1' pen.)
Ferri (52'), Jullien (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tavares (47'), Esteve (61' og.)
Mbemba (7'), Lopez (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lorient 0-2 Montpellier
Thursday, December 29 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 6-1 Toulouse
Thursday, December 29 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 1-3 Marseille

Overcoming a Lorient side on a slippery slope is one thing, but Montpellier's mettle will be tested to the extreme versus a Marseille team who possess a goal threat from all vicinities. Tudor's prolific crop have developed a penchant for goal-laden performances away from home recently, and while La Paillade can feel optimistic about their chances of scoring, the firepower of Marseille should prove too hot to handle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 19.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-0 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawMarseille
19.67% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 22.02% (0.0059999999999967 0.01) 58.31% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.05% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)43.95% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.67% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)66.33% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.78% (0.0049999999999955 0)36.22% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27% (0.0040000000000013 0)73% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)14.77% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.98% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)43.02% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 19.68%
    Marseille 58.31%
    Draw 22.02%
Montpellier HSCDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 5.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 5.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 2.76% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 1.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 19.68%
1-1 @ 10.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.02%
0-1 @ 10.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.94%
0-2 @ 9.78% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-3 @ 6.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 6.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 3.03% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-4 @ 2.98% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-4 @ 1.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 1.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-5 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 58.31%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lorient 0-2 Montpellier
Thursday, December 29 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Reims
Sunday, November 13 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 1-1 Montpellier
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 3-0 Montpellier
Sunday, October 30 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-2 Lyon
Saturday, October 22 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 1-0 Montpellier
Saturday, October 15 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 6-1 Toulouse
Thursday, December 29 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 2-3 Marseille
Sunday, November 13 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-0 Lyon
Sunday, November 6 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-2 Spurs
Tuesday, November 1 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-2 Marseille
Saturday, October 29 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Frankfurt 2-1 Marseille
Wednesday, October 26 at 8pm in Champions League


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