Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 19.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-0 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Marseille |
19.67% (![]() | 22.02% (![]() | 58.31% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.36% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.05% (![]() | 43.95% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.67% (![]() | 66.33% (![]() |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.78% (![]() | 36.22% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27% (![]() | 73% (![]() |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.23% (![]() | 14.77% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.98% (![]() | 43.02% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 5.43% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.28% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.76% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.78% Total : 19.68% | 1-1 @ 10.39% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.35% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.05% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.02% | 0-1 @ 10.23% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-2 @ 9.78% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.34% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.24% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.22% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.03% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.16% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 2.72% Total : 58.31% |
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