Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 54%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 18.45%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.37%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajaccio would win this match.
