Monaco could be exposed out wide with their top two right-backs, Vanderson and Aguilar, injured, but they can make up for their defensive frailties with plenty of quality in the attacking third.
Losing Diaby is a massive blow for Alonso ahead of this match as his side rely heavily on the Frenchman for goals, while defensively this group have been exposed often, conceding six times in their last two games in all competitions.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 50.68%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%).