While Bordeaux know the importance of winning this fixture, they will also recognise that it is a must-not-lose. The same can be said of Saint-Etienne, and it would come as no surprise to anyone if this fixture ended in a low-scoring draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
