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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31
Apr 10, 2022 at 12pm UK
Stade Chaban Delmas
ML

Bordeaux
3 - 1
Metz

Mangas (52'), Niang (68'), Ui-jo (88')
Lacoux (34'), Rode Gregersen (49'), Ui-jo (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lamkel Ze (21')
Lamkel Ze (34'), Kouyate (42')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brest 2-4 Bordeaux
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 5-0 Metz
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Bordeaux 2-1 Metz

While both sides are lacking form, Bordeaux should take confidence from their solid display against Lille, and we back them to build on that with a crucial win. Guion's side will feel they do have the ability to escape their poor predicament, provided they can leapfrog Metz with a win at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 53.41%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Metz had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bordeaux would win this match.

Result
BordeauxDrawMetz
53.41%24.99%21.6%
Both teams to score 48.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.22%53.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.74%75.26%
Bordeaux Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.88%20.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.62%52.38%
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.14%39.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.48%76.52%
Score Analysis
    Bordeaux 53.4%
    Metz 21.6%
    Draw 24.99%
BordeauxDrawMetz
1-0 @ 12.85%
2-0 @ 10.31%
2-1 @ 9.48%
3-0 @ 5.51%
3-1 @ 5.07%
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-0 @ 2.21%
4-1 @ 2.03%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 53.4%
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 8.02%
2-2 @ 4.36%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 7.38%
1-2 @ 5.44%
0-2 @ 3.39%
1-3 @ 1.67%
2-3 @ 1.34%
0-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 21.6%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lille 0-0 Bordeaux
Saturday, April 2 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Bordeaux 0-2 Montpellier
Sunday, March 20 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 3-0 Bordeaux
Sunday, March 13 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Bordeaux 0-2 Troyes
Sunday, March 6 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 1-1 Bordeaux
Sunday, February 27 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Bordeaux 1-1 Monaco
Sunday, February 20 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 1-2 Monaco
Sunday, April 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 6-1 Metz
Sunday, March 20 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 0-0 Lens
Sunday, March 13 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: St Etienne 1-0 Metz
Sunday, March 6 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 0-0 Nantes
Sunday, February 27 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 0-0 Metz
Friday, February 18 at 8pm in Ligue 1


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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