While both sides are lacking form, Bordeaux should take confidence from their solid display against Lille, and we back them to build on that with a crucial win. Guion's side will feel they do have the ability to escape their poor predicament, provided they can leapfrog Metz with a win at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 53.41%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Metz had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bordeaux would win this match.

Result
Bordeaux	Draw	Metz
53.41%	24.99%	21.6%

Both teams to score 48.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.22%

53.78%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.74%

75.26%

Bordeaux Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.88%

20.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.62%

52.38%

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.14%

39.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.48%

76.52%

Score Analysis

Bordeaux 53.4%

Metz 21.6%

Draw 24.99%

Bordeaux	Draw	Metz
1-0 @ 12.85% 2-0 @ 10.31% 2-1 @ 9.48% 3-0 @ 5.51% 3-1 @ 5.07% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-0 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.67% Total : 53.4%	1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 8.02% 2-2 @ 4.36% Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.99%	0-1 @ 7.38% 1-2 @ 5.44% 0-2 @ 3.39% 1-3 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.34% 0-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.35% Total : 21.6%