Bordeaux have plenty more to fight for than Nantes do at this stage of the season, and that ought to be reflected in a forward-thinking performance with the effervescent Hwang back in the fold. However, keeping the back door shut away from home has been an issue for Les Girondins all season long, and a Nantes side who pushed Marseille all the way should get back on track in front of their own fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 70.39%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Bordeaux had a probability of 11.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Bordeaux win it was 0-1 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Bordeaux
70.39%	18.04%	11.58%

Both teams to score 48.21%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.79%

42.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.39%

64.61%

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.23%

10.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.22%

34.78%

Bordeaux Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.03%

45.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.3%

81.7%

Score Analysis

Nantes 70.37%

Bordeaux 11.58%

Draw 18.04%

Nantes	Draw	Bordeaux
2-0 @ 12.29% 1-0 @ 11.03% 2-1 @ 9.56% 3-0 @ 9.13% 3-1 @ 7.1% 4-0 @ 5.09% 4-1 @ 3.95% 3-2 @ 2.76% 5-0 @ 2.27% 5-1 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.91% Total : 70.37%	1-1 @ 8.58% 0-0 @ 4.95% 2-2 @ 3.71% Other @ 0.8% Total : 18.04%	0-1 @ 3.85% 1-2 @ 3.33% 0-2 @ 1.5% 2-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.94% Total : 11.58%