Bordeaux's bid for survival has started to gather a bit of momentum in the past couple of weeks, and if Lyon's showing against West Ham is anything to go by, a shock triumph for Les Girondins cannot be ruled out.
Bosz's side rarely end up on the wrong end of a home scoreline in Ligue 1, though, and a refreshed set of attacking options should possess the necessary firepower to propel Les Gones to a confidence-boosting win, but it should not be the walk in the park that the table would suggest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 74.32%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Bordeaux had a probability of 9.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 3-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Bordeaux win it was 0-1 (3.1%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
