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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Mar 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Auguste Delaune
AA

Reims
1 - 0
Ajaccio

Cajuste (90+5')
Matusiwa (67'), Cajuste (84'), Abdelhamid (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Belaili (58'), Barreto (84'), El Idrissy (89'), Sollacaro (90+7')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reims 3-0 Toulouse
Sunday, February 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 2-1 Troyes
Sunday, February 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Reims 2-0 Ajaccio

Ajaccio will certainly have renewed confidence from their win last week, but they take on a Reims side playing at the peak of their powers under Still, and given their tight defensive record and impressive showing at the other end of the pitch, we can only see the hosts extending their run and coming out on top. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 55.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 20.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Reims in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Reims.

Result
ReimsDrawAjaccio
55.82% (0.073 0.07) 23.61% (0.0040000000000013 0) 20.58% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 50.73% (-0.12 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.51% (-0.102 -0.1)49.49% (0.105 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.47% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)71.53% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Reims Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.43% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)17.57% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.88% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)48.12% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.53% (-0.136 -0.14)38.46% (0.138 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.78% (-0.13 -0.13)75.21% (0.13200000000001 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Reims 55.81%
    Ajaccio 20.58%
    Draw 23.6%
ReimsDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 11.75% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 10.21% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.92% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.66% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.58% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 55.81%
1-1 @ 11.22%
0-0 @ 6.76% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 23.6%
0-1 @ 6.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 5.36% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 20.58%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Reims 3-0 Toulouse
Sunday, February 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 0-0 Reims
Saturday, February 18 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 4-0 Troyes
Sunday, February 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 3-1 Reims
Wednesday, February 8 at 5.15pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Auxerre 0-0 Reims
Sunday, February 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 4-2 Lorient
Wednesday, February 1 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 2-1 Troyes
Sunday, February 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 3-0 Ajaccio
Sunday, February 19 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 3-0 Ajaccio
Friday, February 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-2 Nantes
Sunday, February 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 1-2 Ajaccio
Wednesday, February 1 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-2 Lyon
Sunday, January 29 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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