Lorient have struggled since losing some key players in the January transfer window, but a home fixture against a struggling Ajaccio is a good opportunity to change their February fortunes.
The Bears will have one eye on a crucial clash with Troyes next weekend, with a trip to Lorient a challenging fixture which we believe they will return to Ajaccio with nothing from.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.