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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31
Apr 10, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
M

Marseille
2 - 0
Montpellier

Dieng (9'), Under (19' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)

Ferri (18'), Leroy (66')
Omlin (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Angers 2-0 Montpellier
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 2-0 Montpellier HSC

Marseille will be full of confidence after a good run of results, and they will look to capitalise on Montpellier's not-so-good run of form. The hosts usually score more than one goal in a single game which is why they are likely to get on the scoresheet a couple of times, while Montpellier could struggle to create chances against a side that is going to dominate possession. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 72.64%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 10.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.79%) and 3-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Marseille in this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawMontpellier HSC
72.64%17%10.36%
Both teams to score 47.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.16%40.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.76%63.23%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.15%9.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.33%32.67%
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.7%47.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.28%82.71%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 72.63%
    Montpellier HSC 10.36%
    Draw 17%
MarseilleDrawMontpellier HSC
2-0 @ 12.51%
1-0 @ 10.79%
3-0 @ 9.67%
2-1 @ 9.37%
3-1 @ 7.24%
4-0 @ 5.61%
4-1 @ 4.2%
3-2 @ 2.71%
5-0 @ 2.6%
5-1 @ 1.95%
4-2 @ 1.57%
6-0 @ 1%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 72.63%
1-1 @ 8.08%
0-0 @ 4.66%
2-2 @ 3.51%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 17%
0-1 @ 3.49%
1-2 @ 3.03%
0-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 10.36%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Marseille 2-1 PAOK
Thursday, April 7 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: St Etienne 2-4 Marseille
Sunday, April 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Nice
Sunday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Basel 1-2 Marseille
Thursday, March 17 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Brest 1-4 Marseille
Sunday, March 13 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Basel
Thursday, March 10 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Montpellier 1-2 Brest
Sunday, April 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Bordeaux 0-2 Montpellier
Sunday, March 20 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 0-0 Nice
Saturday, March 12 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 2-0 Montpellier
Sunday, March 6 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 2-4 Rennes
Friday, February 25 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 0-1 Montpellier
Sunday, February 20 at 2pm in Ligue 1


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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