We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-0 Saint-Etienne
PSG's shock defeat at the home of Nantes is surely nothing more than a blip, and at the fortress that is the Parc des Princes, an improving Saint-Etienne need nothing short of a miracle.
Discontent towards Pochettino will certainly grow without all three points here, and Verratti's suspension is less than ideal, but the league leaders should stroll to victory nonetheless.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 74.26%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 8.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.15%) and 3-0 (10.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
