MX23RW : Monday, February 3 20:08:06
SM
Sports Mole words bigger AMP 2
Transfer deadline: 2 hrs 51 mins
Upcoming predictions and previews
PL
PSG logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Feb 19, 2023 at 12pm UK
Parc des Princes
L
Lille

PSG
4 - 3
Lille

Mbappe (11', 87'), Neymar (17'), Messi (90+5')
Verratti (56'), Mbappe (77'), Galtier (90+90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Diakite (24'), David (58' pen.), Bamba (69')
Diakite (45'), Bamba (63'), David (89'), Andre (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 0-1 Bayern
Tuesday, February 14 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Lille 2-0 Strasbourg
Sunday, February 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 56.62%. A win for Lille had a probability of 22.16% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.06%) and 1-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLille
56.62% (0.229 0.23) 21.21% (0.0019999999999989 0) 22.16% (-0.234 -0.23)
Both teams to score 61.13% (-0.35299999999999 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.17% (-0.315 -0.31)36.83% (0.311 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.99% (-0.342 -0.34)59% (0.33900000000001 0.34)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.06% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)12.94% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.6% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)39.39% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.21% (-0.378 -0.38)29.79% (0.374 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.14% (-0.458 -0.46)65.86% (0.45399999999999 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 56.62%
    Lille 22.16%
    Draw 21.21%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLille
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.06% (0.102 0.1)
1-0 @ 7.88% (0.11 0.11)
3-1 @ 6.65% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.49% (0.062 0.06)
3-2 @ 4.03% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.4% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.81% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.06% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.39% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.15% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 56.62%
1-1 @ 9.54% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.85% (0.058 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.21%
1-2 @ 5.78% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-1 @ 4.67% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.83% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.33% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 22.16%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: PSG 0-1 Bayern
Tuesday, February 14 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Monaco 3-1 PSG
Saturday, February 11 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-1 PSG
Wednesday, February 8 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: PSG 2-1 Toulouse
Saturday, February 4 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-3 PSG
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 1-1 Reims
Sunday, January 29 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-0 Strasbourg
Sunday, February 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 2-2 Lille (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, February 8 at 5.15pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Rennes 1-3 Lille
Saturday, February 4 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 0-0 Clermont
Wednesday, February 1 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-0 Lille
Sunday, January 29 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-0 Pau
Sunday, January 22 at 5.30pm in Coupe de France


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
AL
Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!

Loading ...

Failed to load data.



. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .