Having had less time to recover from a disappointing midweek outing, Monaco will be battling low confidence and fitness levels ahead of a fixture in which they have not defended well in down the years. Marseille have not set the world alight in 2022 either, but Sampaoli's side have not had to travel to Azerbaijan and back again in the past week and have plenty of attacking options on the bench ready to be called upon, so we give the edge to Les Olympiens in this battle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Monaco
40.47%	26.31%	33.22%

Both teams to score 52.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.11%

51.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.35%

73.64%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.75%

25.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40%

60%

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.52%

29.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.52%

65.48%

Score Analysis

Marseille 40.46%

Monaco 33.22%

Draw 26.3%

Marseille	Draw	Monaco
1-0 @ 10.24% 2-1 @ 8.61% 2-0 @ 7.05% 3-1 @ 3.95% 3-0 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.49% Total : 40.46%	1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 7.44% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.3%	0-1 @ 9.09% 1-2 @ 7.64% 0-2 @ 5.55% 1-3 @ 3.11% 0-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.47% Total : 33.22%