SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Troyes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
38.77% ( 0.78) | 26.29% ( -0.13) | 34.93% ( -0.64) |
| Both teams to score 53.11% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.45% ( 0.51) | 51.55% ( -0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.66% ( 0.44) | 73.34% ( -0.43) |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74% ( 0.67) | 26% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.97% ( 0.89) | 61.03% ( -0.88) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.77% ( -0.15) | 28.23% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.07% ( -0.19) | 63.93% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Troyes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 1-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.77% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.76% Total : 34.93% |
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