SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 16.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.3%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-0 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lens |
16.21% ( 0.64) | 20.4% ( 0.17) | 63.39% ( -0.81) |
| Both teams to score 53% ( 0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.58% ( 0.46) | 42.41% ( -0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.18% ( 0.45) | 64.82% ( -0.45) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.73% ( 1.1) | 39.26% ( -1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.03% ( 1.01) | 75.97% ( -1.02) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.26% ( -0.09) | 12.74% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.02% ( -0.19) | 38.98% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.09)Other @ 2% Total : 16.21% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.4% | 0-2 @ 10.61% ( -0.3) 0-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.25)1-2 @ 9.93% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 7.29% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 6.82% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 3.76% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 3.51% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.04)0-5 @ 1.55% ( -0.06)1-5 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.33% Total : 63.38% |
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