SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nantes in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Lorient |
43.39% ( -1.54) | 25.24% ( -0.02) | 31.37% ( 1.55) |
| Both teams to score 55.57% ( 0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.1% ( 0.74) | 47.9% ( -0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.92% ( 0.68) | 70.08% ( -0.68) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.96% ( -0.39) | 22.04% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.62% ( -0.6) | 55.37% ( 0.6) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.29% ( 1.43) | 28.71% ( -1.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.46% ( 1.75) | 64.54% ( -1.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantes | Draw | Lorient |
| 1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.41) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.4)3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.25)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 43.39% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.17)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.63% Total : 31.37% |
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