Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Bastia win was 1-0 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%).
Result | ||
Bastia | Draw | Lorient |
33.12% ( -0.41) | 26.77% ( 0.11) | 40.11% ( 0.3) |
Both teams to score 51.22% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.2% ( -0.51) | 53.79% ( 0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.73% ( -0.43) | 75.26% ( 0.43) |
Bastia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.51% ( -0.52) | 30.49% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.3% ( -0.62) | 66.7% ( 0.62) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.68% ( -0.07) | 26.31% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.56% ( -0.09) | 61.44% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Bastia | Draw | Lorient |
1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.15% Total : 33.12% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.77% | 0-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.49% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 40.11% |
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