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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Feb 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Francois Coty
N

Ajaccio
0 - 2
Nantes


Chabrolle (19'), El Idrissy (56')
Diallo (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Guessand (64'), Blas (89' pen.)
Victor (56')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Angers 1-2 Ajaccio
Wednesday, February 1 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Marseille
Wednesday, February 1 at 6pm in Ligue 1

We said: Ajaccio 0-0 Nantes

Neither side have shown much poise in the attacking third throughout the campaign, often employing defensive tactics, so we expect scoring chances to be at a premium in this encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 38%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.54%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 1-0 (11.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.

Result
AjaccioDrawNantes
32.39% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02) 29.61% (0.0040000000000013 0) 38% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 42.92% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.95% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)64.05% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.78% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)83.22% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.65% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)36.35% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.87% (-0.023 -0.02)73.13% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.44% (0.0040000000000049 0)32.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)69.1% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Ajaccio 32.39%
    Nantes 38%
    Draw 29.6%
AjaccioDrawNantes
1-0 @ 11.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.8% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 32.39%
1-1 @ 13.44%
0-0 @ 11.83%
2-2 @ 3.82% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.6%
0-1 @ 13.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.54%
0-2 @ 7.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.82% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.79% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 38%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Angers 1-2 Ajaccio
Wednesday, February 1 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-2 Lyon
Sunday, January 29 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 2-0 Ajaccio
Saturday, January 21 at 5pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Monaco 7-1 Ajaccio
Sunday, January 15 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-1 Reims
Wednesday, January 11 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 2-0 Ajaccio
Sunday, January 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Marseille
Wednesday, February 1 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 0-0 Nantes
Sunday, January 29 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Thaon 0-0 Nantes (2-3 pen.)
Sunday, January 22 at 5.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Montpellier 0-3 Nantes
Sunday, January 15 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-0 Lyon
Wednesday, January 11 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 1-0 Auxerre
Sunday, January 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1


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