MX23RW : Thursday, March 28 19:09:10
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Thursday, March 28
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PL
Champions League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 28, 2021 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
MC

PSG
1 - 2
Man City

Marquinhos (15')
Paredes (70'), Neymar (74')
Gueye (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
De Bruyne (64'), Mahrez (71')
Cancelo (31'), De Bruyne (86')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 51.03%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.23%) and 2-3 (5.47%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Manchester City in this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawManchester City
29.22%19.74%51.03%
Both teams to score 74.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.48%22.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
58.4%41.59%
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.73%17.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.41%47.58%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.3%9.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.68%32.31%
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 29.22%
    Manchester City 51.03%
    Draw 19.74%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawManchester City
2-1 @ 6.02%
3-2 @ 4.12%
3-1 @ 3.53%
1-0 @ 2.94%
2-0 @ 2.58%
4-2 @ 1.81%
4-1 @ 1.55%
3-0 @ 1.51%
4-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 29.22%
2-2 @ 7.03%
1-1 @ 6.86%
3-3 @ 3.2%
0-0 @ 1.67%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 19.74%
1-2 @ 8%
1-3 @ 6.23%
2-3 @ 5.47%
0-2 @ 4.56%
0-1 @ 3.9%
1-4 @ 3.63%
0-3 @ 3.54%
2-4 @ 3.19%
0-4 @ 2.07%
3-4 @ 1.87%
1-5 @ 1.7%
2-5 @ 1.49%
0-5 @ 0.97%
Other @ 4.41%
Total : 51.03%

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