SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 73.89%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 11.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 3-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.54%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-2 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Strasbourg |
73.89% ( -0.06) | 14.98% ( 0.03) | 11.13% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 58.82% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.85% ( -0.05) | 28.14% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.08% ( -0.06) | 48.92% ( 0.06) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.49% ( -0.02) | 6.51% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.7% ( -0.06) | 24.29% ( 0.06) |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.92% ( 0.01) | 37.08% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.13% ( 0.01) | 73.87% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 2-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 8.14% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.04% ( -0)5-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.76% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.51% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.77% Total : 73.89% | 1-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 14.98% | 1-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.19% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 1.76% Total : 11.13% |
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