Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 37%. A win for Rodez AF had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.48%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Rodez AF win was 1-0 (12.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
