Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Amiens had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.28%) and 1-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Amiens win was 1-0 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
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