Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 46.37%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Nimes had a probability of 26.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Nimes win it was 0-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Le Havre would win this match.
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