Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Dunkerque had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Dunkerque win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
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