Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Rodez AF had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Rodez AF win was 1-0 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.05) 
