Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 36.43%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 36.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Bastia win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.02) 
