Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Nimes had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Nimes win was 1-0 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Le Havre in this match.
0.18) 
-0.09) 
