Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nimes win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Niort had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nimes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Niort win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nimes would win this match.
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