Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dijon win with a probability of 46.37%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Caen had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Caen win it was 0-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dijon in this match.
