Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dijon win with a probability of 53.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Pau had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
-0.2) 
0.26) 
