SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Bastia |
41.62% ( -2.14) | 27.66% ( 0.77) | 30.72% ( 1.37) |
| Both teams to score 47.79% ( -1.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.21% ( -2.35) | 57.79% ( 2.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.48% ( -1.89) | 78.52% ( 1.89) |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.65% ( -2.2) | 27.35% ( 2.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.19% ( -2.94) | 62.81% ( 2.94) |
| Bastia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.78% ( -0.22) | 34.22% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.08% ( -0.23) | 70.91% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metz | Draw | Bastia |
| 1-0 @ 12.13% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.35)2-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.4)3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.35)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.23)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.21)4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.19)Other @ 1.91% Total : 41.62% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.81)2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.22)Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.65% | 0-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.8) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.41)1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.29% Total : 30.71% |
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