Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 47.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 26.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 1-0 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lorient in this match.
-0.26) 
0.15) 
