Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunkerque win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunkerque win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dunkerque in this match.
1.37) 
-1.86) 
